Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.528127 0.583210 0.642546 0.711372 0.789199 0.874699 0.976035
2025-09-21 0.433943 0.508890 0.595663 0.704210 0.837273 0.996238 1.202276
2025-09-28 0.369754 0.450633 0.548746 0.677760 0.844762 1.056157 1.348047
2025-10-05 0.340589 0.428626 0.539693 0.692089 0.898887 1.174349 1.576959
2025-10-12 0.316647 0.409424 0.530430 0.702649 0.946156 1.285476 1.807472
2025-10-19 0.295078 0.390555 0.518731 0.707113 0.983385 1.384319 2.030684
2025-10-26 0.276635 0.373853 0.507788 0.710444 1.017753 1.480821 2.260954
2025-11-02 0.261901 0.360802 0.500360 0.717340 1.056913 1.587295 2.519720
2025-11-09 0.242760 0.339810 0.479519 0.701754 1.058986 1.634379 2.684045
2025-11-16 0.231861 0.329926 0.474044 0.708810 1.096941 1.742827 2.968801
2025-11-23 0.219012 0.316141 0.461491 0.703288 1.113161 1.815503 3.197620
2025-11-30 0.209475 0.306674 0.454752 0.706288 1.143492 1.915201 3.490950
2025-12-07 0.197478 0.292806 0.440400 0.695920 1.150358 1.974741 3.717118
2025-12-14 0.187222 0.281060 0.428661 0.689012 1.162693 2.045803 3.978492
2025-12-21 0.174088 0.263928 0.407026 0.663239 1.138007 2.043000 4.080959
2025-12-28 0.169722 0.260692 0.408040 0.677201 1.188431 2.192765 4.544931
2026-01-04 0.164980 0.256517 0.407127 0.687490 1.232622 2.334929 5.016605
2026-01-11 0.159532 0.250824 0.403205 0.691839 1.265385 2.456900 5.461819
2026-01-18 0.154280 0.245151 0.398920 0.695084 1.296072 2.577849 5.926937
2026-01-25 0.149930 0.240767 0.396598 0.701801 1.334411 2.720251 6.475838
2026-02-01 0.142524 0.230692 0.383508 0.686618 1.325087 2.752705 6.732135
2026-02-08 0.138848 0.226972 0.381691 0.693492 1.363770 2.902083 7.348313
2026-02-15 0.133659 0.220299 0.374063 0.688112 1.374949 2.986679 7.792844